Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.006629 0.007401 0.008243 0.009230 0.010360 0.011617 0.013125
2025-05-25 0.005437 0.006496 0.007747 0.009343 0.011342 0.013783 0.017022
2025-06-01 0.004696 0.005862 0.007312 0.009271 0.011880 0.015280 0.020127
2025-06-08 0.004073 0.005256 0.006789 0.008952 0.011976 0.016131 0.022413
2025-06-15 0.003710 0.004931 0.006569 0.008971 0.012481 0.017543 0.025631
2025-06-22 0.003517 0.004803 0.006586 0.009300 0.013436 0.019688 0.030234
2025-06-29 0.003205 0.004473 0.006279 0.009111 0.013579 0.020603 0.033005
2025-07-06 0.002938 0.004181 0.005993 0.008915 0.013672 0.021425 0.035715
2025-07-13 0.002754 0.003993 0.005843 0.008906 0.014050 0.022741 0.039472
2025-07-20 0.002649 0.003914 0.005848 0.009137 0.014842 0.024849 0.045016
2025-07-27 0.002486 0.003732 0.005673 0.009052 0.015076 0.025985 0.048864
2025-08-03 0.002358 0.003593 0.005557 0.009052 0.015451 0.027418 0.053540
2025-08-10 0.002210 0.003420 0.005378 0.008942 0.015647 0.028597 0.058049
2025-08-17 0.002112 0.003321 0.005318 0.009041 0.016254 0.030689 0.065048
2025-08-24 0.001995 0.003181 0.005175 0.008972 0.016522 0.032119 0.070811
2025-08-31 0.001851 0.002984 0.004919 0.008665 0.016277 0.032422 0.073889
2025-09-07 0.001770 0.002891 0.004837 0.008683 0.016698 0.034237 0.081200
2025-09-14 0.001738 0.002882 0.004906 0.009000 0.017783 0.037719 0.093799
2025-09-21 0.001640 0.002748 0.004734 0.008818 0.017764 0.038608 0.099379
2025-09-28 0.001549 0.002621 0.004566 0.008629 0.017707 0.039398 0.104864
2025-10-05 0.001487 0.002544 0.004488 0.008620 0.018058 0.041258 0.114101
2025-10-12 0.001457 0.002524 0.004519 0.008843 0.018976 0.044725 0.129462
2025-10-19 0.001394 0.002438 0.004413 0.008761 0.019155 0.046261 0.138822